GS Paper 2 10 marks · 150w 9 min Medium
“China is using its economic relations and positive trade surplus as tools to develop potential military power status in Asia.” In the light of this statement, discuss its impact on India as her neighbour.
Subtopic: International Relations · China's economic statecraft and India
How to structure your answer
Introduction (economic weight as strategic currency) → China's tools: BRI/CPEC, port acquisitions, debt leverage → impact on India: encirclement, trade deficit, border assertiveness, neighbourhood erosion → India's response: Quad, counter-connectivity, economic de-risking → Conclusion
Detailed model answer
188 words · target 150 words · 9 min
Introduction
China converts its trade surpluses and roughly $3-trillion reserves into strategic presence, using economic instruments to build military reach across Asia — a textbook case of economic statecraft.
Economic Tools, Military Ends
- The Belt and Road Initiative creates dual-use infrastructure; the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor passes through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir, disregarding Indian sovereignty.
- Debt-leveraged ports — Gwadar, Hambantota (99-year lease, 2017) and the first overseas military base at Djibouti (2017) — ring the Indian Ocean in a 'string of pearls'.
- Trade dependence and loans give Beijing coercive leverage over India's neighbours — Sri Lanka, Maldives, Nepal, Bangladesh and Myanmar.
Impact on India
- Strategic encirclement and the PLA Navy's growing Indian Ocean presence compress India's maritime space.
- A trade deficit exceeding $80 billion finances the very asymmetry India confronts, while creating import dependence in electronics, pharmaceutical ingredients and solar equipment.
- Economic muscle emboldens border assertiveness — Doklam (2017), Galwan (2020) — and erodes India's traditional neighbourhood influence.
India's Response
- Quad and Indo-Pacific partnerships; the SAGAR vision; Chabahar and INSTC as counter-connectivity.
- Neighbourhood First lines of credit, Press Note 3 FDI screening and PLI schemes to cut critical dependence.
Conclusion
India must answer economic statecraft in kind — through connectivity, capacity-building and coalitions — rather than through military means alone.
What an examiner expects to see
- China's method: convert trade surpluses and reserves into strategic assets via BRI lending, port acquisitions and dual-use infrastructure
- CPEC through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir directly violates Indian sovereignty concerns
- String of pearls: Gwadar, Hambantota (99-year lease 2017), Djibouti base (2017) — maritime encirclement of India
- Debt leverage pulls India's neighbours (Sri Lanka, Maldives, Nepal, Bangladesh) toward Beijing, eroding India's regional primacy
- India's $80-billion-plus trade deficit and import dependence in electronics, APIs and solar gear fund the asymmetry
- Economic power underwrites border assertiveness — Doklam 2017, Galwan 2020
- India's counter: Quad, SAGAR, Chabahar-INSTC, Press Note 3 screening, PLI-led de-risking
Concrete cases, schemes and judgments
- Hambantota port leased to China for 99 years (2017) after debt distress
- China's first overseas military base at Djibouti (2017)
- CPEC routed through Pakistan-occupied Kashmir
- Doklam standoff (2017) and Galwan clash (2020)
- Press Note 3 (2020) restricting FDI from land-border countries
- India-China trade deficit exceeding $80 billion
Terminology to weave into the answer
economic statecraftstring of pearlsdebt-trap diplomacyBelt and Road Initiativestrategic encirclementtrade deficit