India’s tax-GDP ratio has plateaued near 11-12%, well below OECD average. Discuss the structural reasons and evaluate the post-GST direct and indirect tax reform agenda.
Subtopic: Economy · Mobilisation of resources
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Introduction: Combined Centre-State tax-GDP ratio ~17-18%; Centre alone ~11.7% (Economic Survey 2024-25); OECD average ~34%.
Body: 1) Narrow direct tax base — ~8 crore filers, less than 2 crore pay. 2) GST structure — rate rationalisation pending; cess sunset. 3) Compliance leakages, exemptions, exclusions (petroleum, real estate).
Way forward: GoM on GST rate rationalisation under GST Council Article 279A; Direct Tax Code roll-out; widen TDS net and use AIS-based nudges by CBDT.
- Centre's gross tax revenue ~11.7% of GDP (Economic Survey 2024-25)
- Direct tax buoyancy >1 since FY22; corporate tax cut 2019 to 22%
- GST 101st Constitutional Amendment Act 2016
- GST Council — Article 279A, three-fourths weighted vote
- Compensation cess sunset and GoM-led rate rationalisation
- Petroleum and real estate outside GST