GS Paper 3 10 marks · 150w 9 min Medium
What are the challenges before the Indian economy when the world is moving away from free trade and multilateralism to protectionism and bilateralism? How can these challenges be met?
Subtopic: Indian Economy · protectionism, deglobalization and India's response
How to structure your answer
Introduction (shift from free trade to protectionism/bilateralism) → challenges for India: export uncertainty, WTO paralysis, supply chains, tariffs → how to meet them: FTAs, competitiveness, domestic demand, services → Conclusion
Detailed model answer
191 words · target 150 words · 9 min
Introduction
The post-war multilateral trading order is fraying: the WTO's appellate mechanism is paralysed, and major economies are turning to tariffs, industrial subsidies, friend-shoring and bilateral deals—a shift from free trade toward protectionism and bilateralism.
Challenges for the Indian Economy
- Export uncertainty: rising tariffs and non-tariff barriers (carbon border levies like the EU's CBAM) threaten India's goods exports.
- Weakened multilateralism: a dysfunctional WTO reduces India's ability to defend market access and settle disputes.
- Supply-chain disruption: reshoring and 'China+1' create both risk and opportunity, but demand competitiveness.
- Investment and technology access may be constrained by export controls and bloc-based trade.
How These Challenges Can Be Met
- Deepen bilateral and regional trade deals: leverage the India-UAE CEPA, India-Australia ECTA and India-EFTA TEPA, and pursue the India-EU and India-UK FTAs.
- Boost competitiveness: PLI-led manufacturing, logistics reform (PM Gati Shakti), and ease-of-doing-business to attract 'China+1' investment.
- Diversify markets and leverage services and digital exports, where India is strong.
- Strengthen domestic demand and value chains while championing WTO reform and Global South coalitions.
Conclusion
By combining strategic FTAs with domestic competitiveness and reformed multilateralism, India can turn a protectionist world into an opportunity for resilient, diversified growth.
What an examiner expects to see
- The multilateral order is fraying — WTO appellate body paralysed, with major economies adopting tariffs, subsidies, friend-shoring and bilateral deals.
- Challenge: export uncertainty from rising tariffs and non-tariff barriers such as the EU's carbon border adjustment mechanism (CBAM).
- A dysfunctional WTO weakens India's ability to defend market access and settle disputes.
- Supply-chain reshoring and 'China+1' bring both risk and opportunity but demand competitiveness.
- Response: deepen FTAs — India-UAE CEPA, India-Australia ECTA, India-EFTA TEPA, and pursue India-EU and India-UK deals.
- Boost competitiveness via PLI manufacturing, PM Gati Shakti logistics and ease-of-doing-business to attract relocating investment.
- Diversify markets, leverage strong services/digital exports, strengthen domestic demand, and champion WTO reform with Global South coalitions.
Concrete cases, schemes and judgments
- Paralysis of the WTO Appellate Body since 2019
- EU Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) affecting Indian exports
- India-UAE CEPA (2022), India-Australia ECTA (2022) and India-EFTA TEPA (2024)
- 'China+1' supply-chain diversification and the PLI scheme
- PM Gati Shakti National Master Plan for logistics competitiveness
Terminology to weave into the answer
deglobalizationprotectionism / bilateralismWTO reformfree trade agreementsChina+1CBAM