UPSC CSE 2026 Essay Paper Discussion

RBI Bears Full Hedging Cost on FCNR(B) Deposits to Defend the Rupee and Court NRI Dollars

Why in News?

The Reserve Bank of India has opened a special US dollar-rupee swap window to pull dollars into the country and slow the rupee’s slide, announced on 8 June 2026.

The RBI will bear the full foreign-exchange hedging cost on fresh three- to five-year FCNR(B) deposits raised by authorised banks. FCNR(B) stands for Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank).

  • Window runs 8 June to 30 September 2026 for fresh FCNR(B) deposits; banks can use the swap facility till 16 October 2026.
  • Eligible deposits carry a tenor of three to five years and are swapped with the RBI in multiples of one million dollars.
  • The RBI bears the full hedging cost, equal to roughly a 3 percent discount on swap rates of about 2.8-3.3 percent.
  • Banks can pass on rates 150-200 basis points higher; SBI raised FCNR(B) rates by up to 295 bps and some lenders touched 7 percent.
  • India’s forex reserves fell from a February 2026 peak near 728 billion dollars to about 682 billion dollars.
  • The rupee weakened around 7 percent in 2026 as the Strait of Hormuz crisis pushed crude above 100 dollars a barrel.

The development matters in the context of:

  • A West Asia oil shock — a flare-up around the Strait of Hormuz — feeding the import bill, traced in our note on the Strait of Hormuz energy shock.
  • Defending a currency by attracting inflows rather than burning reserves.
  • Analysts at SBI Research and India Ratings expecting inflows of 40-70 billion dollars from the swap and ECB measures combined.

UPSC Relevance

Prelims Relevance

  • FCNR(B) = Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank); held in foreign currency, so the NRI bears no rupee risk.
  • NRE account: held in rupees, fully repatriable; NRO account: holds India-sourced income, partly repatriable.
  • Interest on FCNR(B) and NRE deposits is exempt from income tax in India; NRO interest is taxable.
  • Window: 8 June to 30 September 2026; fresh deposits of three- to five-year tenor; swap at par.
  • A basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point; banks can pass on 150-200 bps higher rates.
  • Forward premium: the gap between a currency’s future and spot price, driven mainly by the interest-rate differential.
  • The 2013 FCNR(B) swap window under Governor Raghuram Rajan drew about 26 billion dollars during the taper tantrum.
  • Forex reserves fell from a February 2026 peak near 728 billion dollars to around 682 billion dollars.
  • External commercial borrowings (ECBs) by state-owned firms were given a parallel concessional swap.

Mains Relevance

GS Paper 3 (Monetary policy, external sector, capital account):

  • How the RBI manages the exchange rate and capital account through inflow tools rather than reserve drawdowns.
  • Linking live news to static topics: balance of payments, the impossible trinity, forex reserves and forward markets.
  • The oil-rupee feedback loop and policy options open to the central bank during an oil-price shock.

Essay

  • The ethics-of-policy question of whether a country should defend its currency at all, and at what cost.

Background and Context

The window is a quiet, technical move with a loud purpose: to put a floor under a currency that has been sliding all year by changing the supply of dollars rather than chasing the price of crude.

What the Swap Window Does

  • Authorised dealer banks raise three- to five-year FCNR(B) deposits, sell the underlying dollars to the RBI in multiples of one million dollars, and buy them back at the end of the swap.
  • The swap is done at par, so both legs settle at the same exchange rate and the bank carries no currency risk on the rupees it lends back.
  • A bank can hand the RBI the dollars it collects from NRIs, receive rupees to lend at home, and be promised those dollars back at maturity at today’s rate.

Who Pays the Hedging Cost

  • Normally a bank deploying dollar deposits in rupees must buy the dollar forward, paying a forward premium that eats into the depositor’s rate.
  • SBI data put the combined hedging and forward-premium cost near 3-3.5 percent.
  • By bearing the full cost, the RBI lets banks lift quoted NRI rates by 150-200 basis points.
  • The subsidy is worth roughly a 3 percent discount on prevailing swap rates of about 2.8-3.3 percent.

How Banks Responded

  • State Bank of India raised FCNR(B) rates by up to 295 basis points; HDFC Bank by up to 260.
  • Karur Vysya Bank pushed its peak rate past 300 bps to about 7 percent for three- to five-year money.
  • A dollar deposit near 7 percent, tax-free in India and with no rupee risk, is striking when US Treasury yields sit nearer 4.2-4.4 percent.
  • A parallel concessional swap nudges state-owned firms to raise external commercial borrowings (ECBs).

FCNR(B) vs NRE vs NRO

  • FCNR(B): held in foreign currency (dollar, pound, euro, yen, etc.); the bank, not the NRI, carries exchange risk.
  • NRE (Non-Resident External): held in rupees, freely repatriable, but the NRI bears conversion risk.
  • NRO (Non-Resident Ordinary): in rupees, parks India-sourced income (rent, dividends), only partly repatriable.
  • FCNR(B) is the natural instrument during a rupee scare — the only one the NRI can hold without worrying where the rupee goes.

The RBI’s Exchange-Rate Toolkit

  • Spot-market intervention: selling dollars to support the rupee or buying to cap appreciation.
  • Forward-market action to influence the premium.
  • Raising or lowering interest rates to change the reward for holding rupees.
  • Macroprudential and capital-flow tools to open or narrow inflow channels.
  • A large stock of forex reserves as the crisis buffer — the FCNR(B) window tops it up rather than spending it.

The 2013 Precedent and Why 2026 Is Harder

  • During the 2013 taper tantrum the rupee crashed as the US Fed signalled slower bond-buying.
  • Governor Raghuram Rajan opened a concessional FCNR(B) swap at a fixed 3.5 percent, paired with CRR and SLR exemptions.
  • It drew about 26 billion dollars through FCNR(B) and roughly 34 billion across linked measures.
  • 2013 spread: US rates 1-2 percent against ~9 percent Indian yields — wide and automatic.
  • 2026 spread: US short-end near 4 percent, five-year Indian yields ~6.4 percent — thinner, so the RBI shoulders more of the cost.

Macroeconomy Lens: Buying Time, Not Buying the Rupee

  • Defending a falling currency by selling reserves props up the rupee but drains the buffer (already down more than 45 billion dollars).
  • The FCNR(B) route instead raises the supply of dollars, and locks money in for three to five years rather than flighty portfolio capital.
  • The cost has moved, not vanished: the RBI takes the currency risk onto the public balance sheet and books a loss if the rupee falls further by maturity.
  • The deposit treats the symptom; the disease is the oil bill — the structural cure runs upstream through energy efficiency, clean-energy and trimmed subsidised fuel demand, a tension visible in debates over the Ujjwala LPG subsidy and the drive for domestic solar manufacturing.

Challenges and Concerns

  • The hedging cost moves to the RBI’s books, creating a contingent loss if the rupee depreciates further before the swaps mature.
  • The 2026 rate spread is narrower than 2013, so a given subsidy pulls in fewer dollars and may undershoot the 40-billion-plus hopes.
  • FCNR(B) money is debt, not equity — it must be repaid in three to five years, pushing redemption pressure into 2029-31.
  • Heavy reliance on diaspora deposits can mask, rather than fix, the underlying current-account and oil-import vulnerability.
  • A surge of NRI inflows can briefly distort the forward market and the rupee’s hedging curve for other importers and exporters.

Way Forward

  • Narrow the current-account deficit by cutting the oil-import bill through energy efficiency, domestic production and a faster clean-energy transition.
  • Match debt-based inflows with deeper, stickier equity flows such as foreign direct investment.
  • Pursue a credible push for inclusion in global bond indices to reduce reliance on rate-driven diaspora deposits.
  • Use the window’s breathing room to let slower structural reforms work — it is a tourniquet, not a treatment.

Conclusion

The 2026 FCNR(B) swap window is a textbook case of defending the rupee by attracting inflows rather than spending reserves, borrowing the 2013 playbook in a harder, narrower-spread environment.

It is a deliberate, quantified bet: a stable rupee today and a stronger inflow pipeline are judged worth the contingent cost the RBI signs up for.

The window buys the months in which slower reforms can address the real disease — India’s dependence on imported oil.

UPSC Practice Questions

Prelims MCQ 1

With reference to FCNR(B) deposits and the 2026 RBI swap window, consider the following statements:

  1. An FCNR(B) deposit is held in a foreign currency, so the NRI depositor bears no rupee-depreciation risk.
  2. Interest earned on FCNR(B) and NRE deposits is exempt from income tax in India.
  3. Under the swap window, banks bear the full hedging cost while the RBI raises the rate offered to depositors.

How many of the above statements are correct?

(a) Only one (b) Only two (c) All three (d) None

Answer: (b)

Explanation:

  • Statements 1 and 2 are correct: FCNR(B) is held in foreign currency, and interest on both FCNR(B) and NRE deposits is tax-free in India.
  • Statement 3 is wrong: it is the RBI that bears the full hedging cost, which lets banks pass on higher rates.

Prelims MCQ 2

The “forward premium” referred to in the context of the swap window is best described as:

(a) The interest paid on an NRE deposit (b) The gap between a currency’s future and spot price, driven mainly by the interest-rate differential (c) The penalty for early withdrawal of an FCNR(B) deposit (d) The spread between US Treasury and Indian sovereign yields

Answer: (b)

The forward premium is the gap between the future and spot price of a currency, driven mainly by the interest-rate difference between the two countries; bearing it is the hedging cost the RBI absorbs.

UPSC Mains Questions

1. Examine how the Reserve Bank of India defends the rupee through capital-inflow tools rather than reserve drawdowns, using the 2026 FCNR(B) swap window as a case study. (GS3, 15 marks, 250 words)

2. “Defending a falling currency only postpones, rather than removes, the underlying cost.” Critically evaluate this statement in the context of India’s external-sector management. (GS3, 15 marks, 250 words)

What is an FCNR(B) deposit?

FCNR(B) means Foreign Currency Non-Resident (Bank). It is a fixed-term deposit an NRI keeps in a foreign currency such as the US dollar, so the balance never shrinks if the rupee falls. The bank, not the depositor, carries the exchange risk, and the interest earned is tax-free in India.

How is FCNR(B) different from NRE and NRO accounts?

FCNR(B) is held in foreign currency, so the NRI bears no rupee risk. An NRE account is held in rupees and fully repatriable, but the NRI carries conversion risk. An NRO account parks India-sourced income like rent in rupees and is only partly repatriable. NRO interest is taxable; FCNR(B) and NRE interest are not.

What does it mean that the RBI bears the hedging cost?

A bank holding dollars but lending in rupees must buy the dollar forward to protect against the rupee falling, paying a forward premium. That premium is the hedging cost. By taking it onto its own books, the RBI lets banks offer NRIs rates 150-200 basis points higher without losing money on the deposit.

Why is the RBI doing this now?

The rupee fell about 7 percent in 2026 after a Strait of Hormuz crisis pushed crude above 100 dollars a barrel and capital flows weakened. Pulling in three- to five-year NRI dollars steadies the currency by adding fresh foreign exchange, instead of spending down reserves that have already dropped toward 682 billion dollars.

How does this compare with the 2013 swap window?

In 2013, Governor Raghuram Rajan opened a similar FCNR(B) window during the taper tantrum and drew about 26 billion dollars. The 2026 version copies that playbook, but with US rates near 4 percent and Indian yields around 6.4 percent the natural spread is thinner, so the RBI must subsidise more to make the offer attractive.

Does defending the rupee this way carry a risk?

Yes. The hedging cost does not vanish; it moves to the RBI, which carries the currency risk for the life of the swap and books a loss if the rupee falls further by maturity. The deposits are also debt that must be repaid in three to five years. The window buys time, but the cure for repeated rupee stress is a smaller oil-import bill.

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Written by

Pooja Bhatt Ma'am

Editor — UPSC Content · Anantam IAS

Pooja Bhatt is part of the editorial team at Anantam IAS, writing and editing UPSC prep content across Prelims, Mains and current affairs.

Specialises in · UPSC syllabus content, editing and publishing Experience · 6+ years

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