India imports 88 percent of its crude oil and the Strait of Hormuz still carries roughly a third of those imports. Examine India’s energy-security strategy under the West Asia stress test.
Subtopic: IR · Geoeconomics — energy security
How to structure your answer
Introduction: India imports about 88-89 percent of its crude oil, burning about 5.5 million b/d (2026). The Strait of Hormuz, only 33 km wide at its narrowest, carries about 20 million b/d (20 percent of world's petroleum-liquids trade).
Body: Three dimensions — (i) Hormuz exposure: India took 30-40 percent of crude via Hormuz in Feb-March 2026; by March 2026 about 70 percent of crude was arriving outside Hormuz from 40 countries, up from 55 percent a year earlier; (ii) Diversification levers: Russia top supplier (about 30-35 percent), US imports up 31 percent YoY (December 2025), West African and Latin American expansion; (iii) Strategic reserves and infrastructure: 5.33 MMT Strategic Petroleum Reserve at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore and Padur (Phase I); Phase II at Chandikhol and Padur expansion; LNG import terminals; PM Surya Ghar (rooftop solar) and 500 GW non-fossil 2030 target.
Way forward / Conclusion: Expand SPR to 90-day IEA cover, accelerate biofuels (E20 by 2025), operationalise National Green Hydrogen Mission, and treat critical-mineral access as energy-security adjacency.
Written within the word limit
230 words · target 250 words · 14 min
Introduction:
India imports about 88-89 percent of its crude, burning roughly 5.5 million barrels a day in 2026. The Strait of Hormuz — only 33 km wide at its narrowest — carries about 20 million b/d, a fifth of world petroleum-liquids trade, making it India's single most consequential chokepoint.
Hormuz exposure: India took 30-40 percent of crude via Hormuz in February-March 2026 during the West Asia stress test. By March 2026, about 70 percent of crude was arriving from outside the Strait — up from 55 percent a year earlier — sourced from 40 countries, including expanded West African, Latin American and US barrels.
Diversification levers: Russia remains the top supplier at about 30-35 percent (post-sanctions); US imports rose 31 percent year-on-year in December 2025; West African (Angola, Nigeria) and Latin American (Brazil, Guyana) volumes grew; UAE and Saudi remain anchor partners. Long-term LNG contracts with Qatar and the US, plus pipeline gas explorations, hedge gas demand.
Strategic reserves and infrastructure: The 5.33 MMT Strategic Petroleum Reserve at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore and Padur (Phase I) is being expanded with Chandikhol and Padur Phase II; LNG terminals are tripling capacity; PM Surya Ghar (rooftop solar) and the 500 GW non-fossil 2030 target reduce structural demand. The PM Ujjwala Yojana 2.0 substitutes biomass with LPG at the demand floor.
Way forward / Conclusion:
Expand the SPR to 90-day IEA cover, accelerate biofuels (E20 by 2025), operationalise the National Green Hydrogen Mission and treat critical-mineral access as energy-security adjacency — converting import dependence into resilience.
What an examiner expects to see
- India imports about 88-89 percent of crude; burns about 5.5 million b/d (2026)
- Strait of Hormuz — 33 km wide, carries 20 million b/d (about 20 percent of world petroleum liquids)
- India sourced crude from about 40 countries by March 2026
- Strategic Petroleum Reserve — 5.33 MMT (Phase I: Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, Padur)
- Russian crude 35.9 percent (FY24); fell to 21.2 percent (January 2026)
- I2U2 grouping (India, Israel, UAE, US) — July 2022
- Chabahar terminal operations; US sanctions waiver expired 26 April 2026
- E20 ethanol blending and PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana (Feb 2024)
Concrete cases, schemes and judgments
- Strategic Petroleum Reserve Phase I (Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, Padur)
- I2U2 (July 2022)
- Chabahar Shahid Beheshti terminal
- PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana (February 2024)
- National Green Hydrogen Mission (January 2023)
- E20 ethanol blending target