UPSC CSE 2026 Essay Paper Discussion
GS Paper 2 15 marks · 250w 14 min Hard

India imports 88 percent of its crude oil and the Strait of Hormuz still carries roughly a third of those imports. Examine India’s energy-security strategy under the West Asia stress test.

Subtopic: IR · Geoeconomics — energy security

Model answer outline

How to structure your answer

Introduction: India imports about 88-89 percent of its crude oil, burning about 5.5 million b/d (2026). The Strait of Hormuz, only 33 km wide at its narrowest, carries about 20 million b/d (20 percent of world's petroleum-liquids trade).

Body: Three dimensions — (i) Hormuz exposure: India took 30-40 percent of crude via Hormuz in Feb-March 2026; by March 2026 about 70 percent of crude was arriving outside Hormuz from 40 countries, up from 55 percent a year earlier; (ii) Diversification levers: Russia top supplier (about 30-35 percent), US imports up 31 percent YoY (December 2025), West African and Latin American expansion; (iii) Strategic reserves and infrastructure: 5.33 MMT Strategic Petroleum Reserve at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore and Padur (Phase I); Phase II at Chandikhol and Padur expansion; LNG import terminals; PM Surya Ghar (rooftop solar) and 500 GW non-fossil 2030 target.

Way forward / Conclusion: Expand SPR to 90-day IEA cover, accelerate biofuels (E20 by 2025), operationalise National Green Hydrogen Mission, and treat critical-mineral access as energy-security adjacency.

Full model answer

Written within the word limit

230 words · target 250 words · 14 min

Introduction:

India imports about 88-89 percent of its crude, burning roughly 5.5 million barrels a day in 2026. The Strait of Hormuz — only 33 km wide at its narrowest — carries about 20 million b/d, a fifth of world petroleum-liquids trade, making it India's single most consequential chokepoint.

Hormuz exposure: India took 30-40 percent of crude via Hormuz in February-March 2026 during the West Asia stress test. By March 2026, about 70 percent of crude was arriving from outside the Strait — up from 55 percent a year earlier — sourced from 40 countries, including expanded West African, Latin American and US barrels.

Diversification levers: Russia remains the top supplier at about 30-35 percent (post-sanctions); US imports rose 31 percent year-on-year in December 2025; West African (Angola, Nigeria) and Latin American (Brazil, Guyana) volumes grew; UAE and Saudi remain anchor partners. Long-term LNG contracts with Qatar and the US, plus pipeline gas explorations, hedge gas demand.

Strategic reserves and infrastructure: The 5.33 MMT Strategic Petroleum Reserve at Visakhapatnam, Mangalore and Padur (Phase I) is being expanded with Chandikhol and Padur Phase II; LNG terminals are tripling capacity; PM Surya Ghar (rooftop solar) and the 500 GW non-fossil 2030 target reduce structural demand. The PM Ujjwala Yojana 2.0 substitutes biomass with LPG at the demand floor.

Way forward / Conclusion:

Expand the SPR to 90-day IEA cover, accelerate biofuels (E20 by 2025), operationalise the National Green Hydrogen Mission and treat critical-mineral access as energy-security adjacency — converting import dependence into resilience.

Key points

What an examiner expects to see

  • India imports about 88-89 percent of crude; burns about 5.5 million b/d (2026)
  • Strait of Hormuz — 33 km wide, carries 20 million b/d (about 20 percent of world petroleum liquids)
  • India sourced crude from about 40 countries by March 2026
  • Strategic Petroleum Reserve — 5.33 MMT (Phase I: Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, Padur)
  • Russian crude 35.9 percent (FY24); fell to 21.2 percent (January 2026)
  • I2U2 grouping (India, Israel, UAE, US) — July 2022
  • Chabahar terminal operations; US sanctions waiver expired 26 April 2026
  • E20 ethanol blending and PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana (Feb 2024)
Examples to use

Concrete cases, schemes and judgments

  • Strategic Petroleum Reserve Phase I (Visakhapatnam, Mangalore, Padur)
  • I2U2 (July 2022)
  • Chabahar Shahid Beheshti terminal
  • PM Surya Ghar Muft Bijli Yojana (February 2024)
  • National Green Hydrogen Mission (January 2023)
  • E20 ethanol blending target
Keywords / terms

Terminology to weave into the answer

Hormuzenergy securitySPRChabaharI2U2Russian crudeGreen HydrogenPM Surya Ghar
Sources to read

Primary sources and verified references

Energy Security — Anantam IAS https://anantamias.com/energy-security-citizen-austerity/ IEA — Strait of Hormuz https://www.iea.org/about/oil-security-and-emergency-response/strait-of-hormuz Petroleum Ministry — India's diversified oil basket https://mopng.gov.in/

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