GS Paper 1 12.5 marks · 200w 14 min Medium
South China Sea has assumed great geopolitical significance in the present context. Comment.
Subtopic: Geography · South China Sea geopolitics
How to structure your answer
Introduction: SCS as a flashpoint → significance: trade artery, resources, strategic geography → contention: nine-dash line, militarisation, 2016 PCA award → India's stakes and response → Conclusion: test of the rules-based maritime order
Detailed model answer
251 words · target 200 words · 14 min
The South China Sea (SCS), a semi-enclosed sea ringed by China and ASEAN states, has become one of the world's sharpest geopolitical flashpoints.
Why the SCS matters
- Trade artery: roughly one-third of global shipping, worth over 3 trillion dollars annually, transits the SCS, linking the Indian and Pacific Oceans through the Malacca Strait.
- Resources: substantial oil and natural gas reserves and about 12 percent of the global fish catch sustain the littoral economies.
- Strategic geography: control of the sea confers dominance over East Asia's energy lifelines, making it the heart of the Indo-Pacific construct.
Sources of contention
- China's nine-dash line claim over almost the entire sea, its island-building and the militarisation of features in the Spratlys and Paracels.
- Overlapping claims by Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei and Taiwan.
- The 2016 Permanent Court of Arbitration award in Philippines v China rejected historic rights under the nine-dash line; Beijing's refusal to accept it challenges UNCLOS and the rules-based order.
- US freedom-of-navigation operations and China's grey-zone coercion of fishing and coast-guard fleets keep tensions simmering, while a China-ASEAN Code of Conduct remains under negotiation.
India's stakes
- Over half of India's trade passes through the SCS-Malacca route, and ONGC Videsh operates hydrocarbon blocks off Vietnam.
- India upholds freedom of navigation and UNCLOS, has supplied BrahMos missiles to the Philippines, and deepens Quad and ASEAN engagement under its Act East policy and Indo-Pacific vision.
The South China Sea is thus the test case of whether Asia's maritime order will be rules-based or power-based, which is the source of its enduring geopolitical significance.
What an examiner expects to see
- Quantifies significance: about one-third of global shipping worth over 3 trillion dollars annually; roughly 12 percent of the global fish catch; sizeable hydrocarbons
- Names the legal core: nine-dash line versus UNCLOS, and the 2016 PCA award in Philippines v China rejecting historic rights
- Describes militarisation: artificial islands and military infrastructure in the Spratlys and Paracels; grey-zone coercion
- Maps the claimants: China, Taiwan, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei
- Brings in India's stakes: over half of India's trade through the SCS-Malacca route, ONGC Videsh in Vietnamese blocks, BrahMos sale to the Philippines
- Frames the SCS as the test of a rules-based versus power-based maritime order in the Indo-Pacific
Concrete cases, schemes and judgments
- Permanent Court of Arbitration award, July 2016 (Philippines v China)
- ONGC Videsh exploration blocks off Vietnam's coast
- BrahMos missile contract with the Philippines (delivered 2024)
- US freedom-of-navigation operations near Chinese-held features
- China-ASEAN Code of Conduct negotiations still unresolved
Terminology to weave into the answer
nine-dash lineUNCLOSfreedom of navigationIndo-Pacificgrey-zone coercionCode of Conduct