UPSC CSE 2026 Essay Paper Discussion

India-Saudi Arabia Relations (UPSC International Relations)

India-Saudi Arabia relations for UPSC GS II: Strategic Partnership Council, Vision 2030, oil imports, Hajj, diaspora, and West Coast Refinery project.

India-Saudi Arabia Relations (UPSC International Relations) — UPSC featured image

Saudi Arabia is India's third-largest trading partner globally, the third-largest crude supplier, host to 2.6 million Indian expatriates, and the custodian of the Two Holy Mosques where 175,000 Indian Hajj pilgrims travel each year. For decades the relationship was transactional — oil from Riyadh, workers from India. Since the Riyadh Declaration (2010), and particularly under Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's Vision 2030, ties have upgraded to a Strategic Partnership Council (SPC, 2019). For UPSC GS II, India-Saudi tests energy diplomacy, diaspora economy, and the balancing act between Iran, Israel, and the Gulf.

Historical context

India and Saudi Arabia established diplomatic relations in 1947. The Cold War positioned Riyadh closer to Pakistan due to Islamic solidarity and anti-Soviet alignment. Relations warmed steadily after 1991 liberalisation and PM Vajpayee's 2001 visit. The Delhi Declaration (2006) elevated ties; the Riyadh Declaration (2010) formalised the Strategic Partnership. PM Modi's 2016 visit — and MBS's 2019 and 2023 visits — embedded the relationship.

Strategic Partnership Council

Established in 2019 as the apex bilateral mechanism. Two verticals:

  • Political, Security, Social and Cultural Cooperation Committee
  • Economy and Investments Committee

The first SPC Summit (September 2023) produced:

  • Target of USD 100 billion Saudi investments in India.
  • Commitment to FTA with GCC.
  • Joint Task Force on Investments.
  • Agreements on energy, finance, digital, and culture.

Vision 2030 and India

Saudi Arabia’s Vision 2030 — launched by MBS in 2016 — aims at diversification away from oil: tourism, entertainment, renewable energy, manufacturing, technology. India is identified as a key partner for:

  • Labour and talent supply.
  • Technology and digital public infrastructure.
  • Pharmaceuticals and healthcare.
  • Agri-food security (Saudi imports 80% of food).
  • Investment flows from Saudi PIF to Indian infrastructure.

Areas of cooperation

Trade

  • Bilateral trade USD 43 billion (FY24); USD 52 billion (FY23).
  • Oil dominates; non-oil trade rising — pharma, rice, engineering goods.
  • GCC FTA negotiations ongoing.

Investment

  • Saudi PIF invested in Reliance Jio Platforms and Reliance Retail (~USD 3 billion).
  • Aramco signed MoU for West Coast Refinery and Petrochemicals Project (USD 44 billion, Maharashtra) with ADNOC and Indian consortium.
  • Saudi Aramco entered Nayara Energy fuel retail.

Energy

  • Third-largest crude supplier to India (16.7% share in FY23).
  • Strategic Petroleum Reserve — Saudi Aramco invested in Indian SPR.
  • LPG — Saudi supplies significant volumes.
  • Renewables — ACWA Power and Aramco expanding renewable JVs.

Defence

  • Joint exercises Sada Tanseeq (army).
  • Al-Mohed Al-Hindi (navy, biennial).
  • Defence industry MoU signed (2023).
  • Saudi interest in Tejas, BrahMos, Akash.

Diaspora

  • 2.6 million Indians — largest expatriate community.
  • Remittances approximately USD 11-12 billion annually.
  • Labour MoU (2014); e-migrate platform.
  • Hajj quota — 175,000 Indian pilgrims, highest global.

Food security

Saudi investments in Indian food processing, grains, dairy, and agri-infrastructure to secure imports.

Digital and innovation

  • UPI and RuPay cooperation.
  • Indian IT companies partner on smart city projects (NEOM, Red Sea Project).
  • Startup cooperation.

Counter-terrorism

  • Riyadh Declaration condemned cross-border terrorism.
  • Intelligence sharing; deportation cooperation.
  • Indian terror suspects extradited.

Cultural

  • Education MoUs.
  • Yoga and Ayurveda outreach.
  • Saudi Arabia opened a consulate in Mumbai.

Geopolitical context

Saudi-Iran normalisation (2023)

China-brokered detente in March 2023 restored Saudi-Iran ties. India, which had warm ties with both, welcomed the move. Still, Saudi remains cautious about Iran's regional proxy network (Houthis, Hezbollah).

China in the Gulf

  • China is Saudi Arabia's largest oil buyer and a major investor.
  • Saudi Vision 2030 signed "harmonisation plan" with BRI.
  • Saudi joined BRICS (2024) — though later paused formal accession.

US withdrawal narrative

US shale independence has reduced American energy dependence on the Gulf. The US retains security commitments but is perceived as less engaged. This opens space for India.

Yemen war

Houthi attacks on Saudi oil assets (Aramco, 2019) and now on Red Sea shipping affect India's interests directly. India coordinates maritime security.

Israel-Saudi normalisation

US-brokered normalisation on pause post-October 2023. Indian interest: an integrated I2U2-IMEC corridor benefits from Saudi-Israel normalisation.

Challenges

  • Oil price volatility affects Indian fiscal planning.
  • Diaspora vulnerabilities — unpaid wages, legal issues.
  • Human rights concerns — Indian media occasionally critical of Saudi record, causing diplomatic friction.
  • Pakistan factor — Saudi historically a Pakistani ally; balance maintained.
  • Climate and green transition — Saudi clings to oil; India pushes solar/green hydrogen.

Latest developments (2024-26)

  • MBS state visit to India (September 2023) for SPC Summit.
  • Modi visit to Saudi Arabia (April 2024) — follow-up engagements.
  • IMEC (G20 New Delhi, Sep 2023) — Saudi Arabia is a core member.
  • BRICS expansion (2024) — Saudi initially accepted, then paused membership process.
  • Red Sea crisis (late 2023 onward) — Saudi ceasefire in Yemen; Indian Navy's Operation Sankalp coordinated.
  • Israel-Hamas conflict — Saudi-Israel normalisation paused.
  • West Coast Refinery revised timelines (2025 ground-breaking).
  • Saudi PIF expanding Indian infrastructure and tech bets.
  • Hajj quota increased to 175,025 for 2025.
  • GCC FTA negotiations progressed.
  • AI Action Summit Paris (2025) — Saudi-India AI MoUs.
  • Russia-Ukraine update — Saudi hosted Ukraine peace talks (August 2023).
  • Operation Sindhu Thakur / Ajay — evacuation coordination.
  • UPI in Saudi Arabia rollout planned for 2025-26.

Way forward

  1. Conclude the GCC FTA — unlocks major trade and investment.
  2. Deliver the West Coast Refinery — flagship project.
  3. Green hydrogen corridor — India as consumer; Saudi as producer.
  4. Deepen defence — joint production, naval capability.
  5. Diaspora welfare — labour reforms, social security portability.
  6. Cultural diplomacy — Yoga, cuisine, Bollywood.
  7. IMEC execution — revive Gulf-to-Europe rail links.

Key bilateral agreements and mechanisms

MechanismStatus
Riyadh Declaration2010
Delhi Declaration2006
Strategic Partnership Council (SPC)Since 2019
Joint Commission on Economic and Technical Cooperation (JCETC)Regular
India-Saudi Arabia High-Level Task Force on Investments2019
Defence Cooperation MoU2014
Civil Nuclear Cooperation FrameworkUnder discussion
Memorandum on HajAnnual
Bilateral Investment Treaty (BIT)Under negotiation
DTAAIn force

PM Modi's Saudi visits

YearNotes
April 2016First PM Modi visit; Award of King Abdulaziz Sash
October 2019State visit; Strategic Partnership Council established
November 2022G20 Bali sideline meeting with MBS
September 2023MBS state visit to India; SPC Summit
April 2024Modi state visit

Vision 2030 alignment with India

Saudi Vision 2030 pillarIndian contribution
NEOM futuristic cityIndian IT, construction, hospitality expertise
Red Sea ProjectTourism, infrastructure partnerships
Qiddiya entertainment cityCultural and entertainment exports
Renewables target (50% by 2030)Solar, green hydrogen cooperation
Food security initiativeAgri-imports from India, investments in processing
Mining and minerals diversificationRare earth cooperation

Religious diplomacy

  • Hajj quota: 175,025 Indian pilgrims in 2025 — the highest for any country.
  • Haj Committee of India works with Saudi Ministry of Hajj and Umrah.
  • Umrah quota expanding.
  • Saudi Arabia hosted India's Republic Day cultural programme in 2023.

West Asian security architecture

Saudi Arabia's positioning has three vectors:

  1. US security guarantor historically; recent disaffection.
  2. Chinese economic partner — top oil buyer; growing political role.
  3. Emerging leader of Islamic world — challenge to Iran, Turkey.

India's approach: become a fourth vector — non-aligned, economically substantive, culturally respectful, defence-capable. The I2U2 and IMEC frameworks institutionalise that.

Challenges deep dive

  • Oil price volatility — USD 10-15 per barrel swings affect Indian import bill by USD 10-15 billion annually.
  • Migrant worker vulnerabilities — kafala system reforms incomplete.
  • Climate politics — Saudi's OPEC+ oil-first stance vs India's renewable ambition.
  • Regional proxy wars — Yemen, Syria, Lebanon.
  • Hajj logistics — mass casualty events (2015 stampede; 2024 heatwave deaths including Indians).

UPSC Relevance

India-Saudi is a GS II topic — bilateral relations, effect of policies of developed and neighbouring countries on India's interests. Prelims has asked about SPC, Vision 2030, Hajj quota, Aramco investments. Mains prompts rotate between energy security, diaspora, and West Asia balancing.

Practice question (Mains): Examine the evolution of India-Saudi Arabia relations from an energy-focused partnership to a strategic and economic engagement. (250 words)

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Rahul Puri Sir

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Rahul Puri is the Director & Mentor at Anantam IAS. He leads the institution's teaching philosophy — focused not on syllabus completion but on the thinking, clarity and consistency that actually crack UPSC. A long-time mentor to hundreds of civil services aspirants and interview toppers (including AIR 28, 48, 56, 73, 96, 106, 116, 143 in CSE 2025), he anchors Anantam's flagship Interview Guidance Programme.

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